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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.64+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.70+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.60+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.24University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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4.33University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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3.02University of California at San Diego-0.970.2%1st Place
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5.97University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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5.46University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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4.95University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.89University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lipps | 23.1% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.7% |
| Drake Coy | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Keller | 24.5% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 22.4% | 31.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 24.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.