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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.64+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.70+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.32+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.60-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
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4.23University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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3.17University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.49University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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4.9University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 25.2% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Drake Coy | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 22.7% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 21.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 35.5% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.