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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.64+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.70+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.97-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.32+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.60-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.05-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
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3.15University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.04University of California at San Diego-0.970.2%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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4.9University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kalway | 11.7% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Drake Coy | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 24.5% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 24.1% | 23.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 9.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 14.2% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 35.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.