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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.05+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.32+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.60+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.02-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.64-2.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.70-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
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3.17University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.99University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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5.96University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.91University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.27University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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4.22University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 25.4% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.4% | 22.2% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 14.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 24.1% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 32.6% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Drake Coy | 12.5% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.