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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.97+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.05+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.32+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.60+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.64-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.02-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.70-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of California at San Diego-0.970.3%1st Place
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3.17University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.0University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at San Diego-2.320.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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4.2University of California at San Diego-1.640.1%1st Place
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4.97University of California at San Diego-2.020.1%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego-1.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 25.5% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 21.9% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 23.7% |
| Maria Guinness | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 32.3% |
| Emma Kalway | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| Drake Coy | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.