← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-2.60+3.90vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.53vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-2.05+1.23vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.99vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.71-1.06vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.9University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
-
2.53University of California at San Diego-0.680.3%1st Place
-
4.23University of California at San Diego-2.050.1%1st Place
-
3.01University of California at San Diego-1.070.2%1st Place
-
3.94University of California at San Diego-1.710.1%1st Place
-
2.4University of California at San Diego-0.580.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Guinness | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 49.5% |
| Sebastien Franck | 28.5% | 27.0% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 29.1% | 24.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 18.5% | 21.3% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 31.7% | 25.5% | 22.5% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.