← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Connecticut-0.58+1.54vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+1.55vs Predicted
-
3Amherst College-1.69+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Williams College-1.63-0.38vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.48-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.54University of Connecticut-0.5818.9%1st Place
-
3.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.536.5%1st Place
-
3.75Amherst College-1.695.9%1st Place
-
3.62Williams College-1.636.9%1st Place
-
1.53Boston University0.4861.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Oslovich | 18.9% | 33.9% | 26.9% | 14.8% | 5.5% |
| Angelina Papa | 6.5% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 27.4% | 28.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 5.9% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 26.5% | 36.3% |
| Charles Maier | 6.9% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 29.5% | 29.6% |
| William Wiegand | 61.8% | 26.6% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.