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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+8.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+6.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+6.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+4.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89-1.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.63vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44+1.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-1.79vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.50+5.64vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University2.41+2.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.11-0.77vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.72-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.75-2.13vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.95+1.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-7.23vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.06-9.44vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-12.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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4.54Boston College4.890.2%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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15.64Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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13.35Northwestern University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.750.0%1st Place
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16.54Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 13.6% | 29.5% | 31.0% |
| Eric DeFeo | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 8.9% |
| Quentin Chafee | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Hansel | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Stephanie Hart | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 22.4% | 53.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Thompson | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.