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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-2.52+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.49+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-3.07+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.54-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.28-3.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.20-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.17University of California at San Diego-0.580.2%1st Place
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4.43University of California at San Diego-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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3.17University of California at San Diego-0.540.2%1st Place
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2.75University of California at San Diego-0.280.3%1st Place
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2.58University of California at San Diego-0.200.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 36.7% | 31.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 17.4% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Stella Potter | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 30.7% | 21.1% | 6.2% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 24.4% | 59.4% |
| Aron McConnell | 18.0% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 25.3% | 23.5% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Elsa Engesser | 27.9% | 24.7% | 22.3% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.