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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.52+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-3.07+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.28-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.49-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.20-3.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.54-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of California at San Diego-0.580.2%1st Place
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5.66University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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2.81University of California at San Diego-0.280.2%1st Place
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4.53University of California at San Diego-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.68University of California at San Diego-0.200.3%1st Place
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3.04University of California at San Diego-0.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 20.6% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 13.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 14.9% | 40.1% | 29.6% |
| Cassidy Murray | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 8.5% | 21.8% | 59.8% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 22.6% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Stella Potter | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 29.5% | 23.0% | 7.3% |
| Elsa Engesser | 26.2% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Aron McConnell | 20.5% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.