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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-3.07+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.52+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.54+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.20-2.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.28-3.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.49-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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5.73University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.12University of California at San Diego-0.540.2%1st Place
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3.21University of California at San Diego-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.68University of California at San Diego-0.200.3%1st Place
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2.76University of California at San Diego-0.280.3%1st Place
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4.35University of California at San Diego-1.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Murray | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 22.4% | 58.5% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 39.6% | 32.7% |
| Aron McConnell | 17.3% | 20.6% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 17.9% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Elsa Engesser | 27.0% | 23.2% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 25.4% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Stella Potter | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 28.3% | 20.2% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.