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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-3.07+5.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.52+3.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.54+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.28-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.49-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.20-3.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.1University of California at San Diego-0.540.2%1st Place
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2.79University of California at San Diego-0.280.2%1st Place
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4.52University of California at San Diego-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.67University of California at San Diego-0.200.3%1st Place
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3.08University of California at San Diego-0.580.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Murray | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 22.0% | 58.0% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 14.4% | 37.9% | 32.2% |
| Aron McConnell | 18.3% | 20.4% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 24.8% | 21.3% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Stella Potter | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 29.2% | 22.9% | 7.5% |
| Elsa Engesser | 27.1% | 24.6% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 19.2% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.