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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.20+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.28+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.54+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.49-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-3.07+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.52-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of California at San Diego-0.200.3%1st Place
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2.74University of California at San Diego-0.280.2%1st Place
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3.11University of California at San Diego-0.540.2%1st Place
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3.2University of California at San Diego-0.580.2%1st Place
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4.48University of California at San Diego-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at San Diego-3.070.0%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 28.1% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 24.8% | 23.7% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Aron McConnell | 18.1% | 19.9% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Tobie Bloom | 18.9% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Stella Potter | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 29.5% | 19.7% | 8.2% |
| Cassidy Murray | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 24.0% | 59.3% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 38.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.