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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut-0.58+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53+1.51vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-1.69+0.79vs Predicted
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4Williams College-1.63-0.36vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Connecticut-0.5819.5%1st Place
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3.51University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.538.1%1st Place
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3.79Amherst College-1.695.2%1st Place
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3.64Williams College-1.636.9%1st Place
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1.54Boston University0.4860.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Oslovich | 19.5% | 34.5% | 25.9% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Angelina Papa | 8.1% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 27.9% | 26.4% |
| Adrian Whitney | 5.2% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 26.3% | 37.1% |
| Charles Maier | 6.9% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 28.9% | 30.9% |
| William Wiegand | 60.3% | 28.0% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.