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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.20+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-3.00+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.36+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.31-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.01-2.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.52-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of California at San Diego-0.200.6%1st Place
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4.76University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.0University of California at San Diego-2.360.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at San Diego-2.310.1%1st Place
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2.48University of California at San Diego-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 56.3% | 27.7% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Pless | 2.8% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 44.2% |
| Grace Richie | 6.8% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 25.4% | 17.2% |
| Bella Valente | 6.5% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 27.3% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| Rita Usmanova | 23.0% | 34.8% | 22.6% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 4.6% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 26.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.