Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Martins Atilla 19.3% 18.1% 14.7% 10.0% 10.7% 8.1% 5.4% 5.2% 3.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Hosek 5.4% 5.4% 7.2% 7.4% 8.1% 8.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.7% 8.2% 6.5% 7.7% 5.4% 4.4% 1.1%
Ethan Simpson 13.2% 10.8% 12.0% 11.6% 9.2% 10.8% 8.3% 7.1% 5.6% 4.0% 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Hamilton 4.4% 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 9.9% 8.9% 8.8% 7.8% 6.3% 2.8%
Yasar Akin 2.8% 4.0% 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 4.7% 7.1% 6.4% 10.2% 9.8% 13.3% 10.6% 11.0%
William Bailey 7.8% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 10.0% 8.5% 9.1% 8.4% 9.4% 7.8% 6.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Sidney Moyer 6.3% 5.0% 5.3% 6.5% 5.9% 6.4% 8.2% 8.7% 8.9% 9.6% 7.8% 7.8% 6.0% 5.8% 1.8%
Will Eggena 1.7% 0.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 2.5% 3.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.5% 10.0% 18.4% 29.5%
Xander Dalke 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 3.8% 3.2% 4.9% 5.4% 5.4% 6.4% 8.0% 9.8% 10.0% 12.1% 13.7% 11.1%
Ben Sheppard 6.3% 6.2% 9.0% 7.0% 8.6% 9.3% 6.8% 9.3% 9.5% 7.4% 6.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.0% 0.8%
Connor Macken 6.4% 10.0% 8.3% 9.3% 8.9% 7.3% 8.5% 7.4% 8.3% 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% 3.6% 2.0% 1.1%
Rob Mailley 1.5% 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 3.4% 5.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.2% 8.3% 13.2% 17.5% 24.9%
Michael Hanrahan 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 4.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 4.5% 4.0% 7.6% 8.1% 10.1% 14.3% 14.9% 14.0%
Olivia Drulard 14.6% 14.5% 12.2% 13.3% 9.9% 8.4% 8.2% 6.4% 4.0% 3.9% 2.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 6.7% 8.2% 7.9% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 8.6% 9.5% 9.1% 6.8% 8.3% 6.2% 3.7% 2.3% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.