Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ethan Simpson 13.3% 13.1% 10.5% 11.5% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 6.6% 5.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Martins Atilla 19.5% 19.3% 13.5% 11.3% 9.4% 8.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Macken 7.4% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 9.4% 7.5% 8.8% 9.2% 8.4% 7.4% 6.1% 5.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Luke Hosek 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.1% 9.3% 8.1% 7.1% 6.1% 4.1% 1.8%
Sidney Moyer 4.9% 5.8% 5.5% 6.6% 6.0% 7.7% 6.6% 6.6% 8.8% 10.5% 9.3% 8.0% 5.9% 5.6% 2.2%
Kaitlyn Hamilton 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 9.3% 8.6% 10.5% 9.4% 8.0% 5.1% 2.6%
William Bailey 8.7% 6.0% 7.6% 8.5% 7.9% 10.4% 8.3% 8.1% 9.7% 5.9% 6.0% 5.1% 5.8% 1.1% 0.9%
Ethan Burt 7.3% 5.9% 8.6% 7.9% 6.6% 8.6% 7.7% 9.3% 8.4% 8.1% 7.1% 7.2% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
Olivia Drulard 14.2% 13.5% 13.6% 12.5% 10.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.4% 5.1% 3.7% 1.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Rob Mailley 1.7% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 4.4% 4.0% 4.0% 5.9% 7.5% 8.7% 11.7% 18.9% 23.2%
Michael Hanrahan 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 5.3% 6.9% 8.3% 10.8% 11.4% 13.3% 14.7%
Ben Sheppard 5.6% 6.1% 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 7.6% 8.0% 8.3% 9.6% 8.3% 7.1% 6.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Yasar Akin 2.4% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 3.3% 5.4% 6.4% 5.2% 6.5% 9.5% 12.3% 11.6% 11.9% 11.5%
Will Eggena 1.5% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 2.1% 2.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 7.0% 6.9% 11.3% 17.6% 29.3%
Xander Dalke 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 7.2% 8.0% 9.4% 12.4% 15.4% 11.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.