Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Martins Atilla 15.9% 17.1% 12.7% 11.5% 10.5% 10.1% 6.2% 5.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Sheppard 5.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 8.0% 8.7% 8.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.6% 5.5% 7.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Luke Hosek 5.8% 4.2% 5.1% 7.8% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 7.7% 9.4% 9.2% 9.9% 8.1% 7.1% 3.3% 1.5%
Ethan Simpson 10.8% 10.9% 10.3% 9.1% 10.4% 8.5% 10.3% 7.4% 8.1% 6.2% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4%
Sidney Moyer 4.9% 4.5% 6.0% 3.9% 7.1% 5.5% 6.6% 8.2% 8.0% 10.7% 10.3% 8.8% 6.6% 6.0% 2.9%
William Bailey 5.9% 7.2% 6.3% 6.9% 6.7% 9.6% 8.4% 10.7% 8.0% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6%
Yasar Akin 3.4% 2.3% 3.4% 2.7% 4.2% 3.2% 5.2% 4.7% 6.4% 8.1% 9.9% 12.3% 12.0% 13.0% 9.2%
Michael Hanrahan 2.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.0% 3.9% 6.2% 6.9% 9.3% 9.6% 13.5% 16.1% 12.8%
Olivia Drulard 11.9% 13.2% 12.2% 12.9% 9.5% 9.5% 8.9% 7.6% 4.7% 4.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Laura Hamilton 17.4% 14.2% 14.7% 13.7% 9.4% 9.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 5.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.7% 7.1% 8.5% 8.8% 9.3% 7.7% 8.8% 5.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.6%
Rob Mailley 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 3.1% 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 6.6% 6.3% 10.7% 13.2% 17.4% 25.7%
Xander Dalke 1.5% 1.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.0% 7.5% 12.5% 14.0% 15.6% 13.6%
Connor Macken 6.6% 7.3% 6.9% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 9.9% 9.0% 7.4% 6.9% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.7%
Will Eggena 0.8% 1.8% 1.5% 1.4% 3.4% 2.5% 2.0% 3.8% 3.2% 4.2% 7.5% 8.6% 11.6% 17.5% 30.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.