Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Luke Hosek 5.4% 5.2% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.1% 8.3% 8.3% 8.7% 9.2% 5.5% 4.4% 2.3%
Connor Macken 6.4% 7.6% 6.5% 10.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.4% 7.7% 9.4% 7.8% 6.6% 5.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Sidney Moyer 4.1% 5.2% 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 7.3% 7.9% 7.2% 10.0% 9.0% 10.6% 7.5% 5.3% 1.6%
Ethan Simpson 10.7% 10.3% 11.9% 9.7% 9.6% 9.4% 8.8% 8.0% 7.5% 5.6% 3.8% 2.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Laura Hamilton 17.7% 14.1% 14.7% 12.6% 12.9% 7.9% 6.1% 3.9% 3.9% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 4.9% 7.3% 6.3% 6.0% 6.7% 8.7% 9.6% 8.7% 10.3% 9.6% 7.5% 6.0% 4.5% 2.9% 1.0%
William Bailey 7.0% 6.3% 6.2% 8.0% 7.8% 9.6% 8.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 4.6% 3.0% 0.7%
Olivia Drulard 13.2% 13.1% 11.1% 10.9% 9.4% 9.5% 7.4% 8.3% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Rob Mailley 1.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 7.0% 8.1% 9.9% 12.6% 17.5% 23.3%
Michael Hanrahan 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 2.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 9.4% 10.7% 12.6% 14.7% 14.2%
Ben Sheppard 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 7.7% 8.1% 6.6% 8.3% 9.6% 6.7% 8.7% 9.1% 5.7% 5.4% 2.9% 1.4%
Yasar Akin 2.2% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 5.6% 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 9.7% 11.6% 15.1% 12.9% 10.8%
Will Eggena 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.0% 7.5% 11.2% 19.4% 32.8%
Xander Dalke 1.7% 2.8% 1.7% 3.7% 2.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.7% 7.6% 6.5% 8.7% 11.5% 13.0% 14.7% 11.5%
Martins Atilla 16.4% 15.5% 14.4% 10.3% 10.3% 8.8% 8.6% 6.1% 3.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.