Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Luke Hosek 6.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.1% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 6.3% 4.1% 2.5%
Connor Macken 6.6% 6.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 7.2% 7.8% 9.6% 8.2% 6.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Ethan Simpson 10.5% 11.1% 11.9% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7% 8.6% 7.5% 7.5% 6.0% 3.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Martins Atilla 16.9% 15.2% 13.4% 11.1% 10.7% 8.4% 7.9% 6.6% 4.4% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Drulard 11.6% 14.2% 9.9% 11.7% 9.6% 10.7% 9.5% 5.4% 6.1% 3.9% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Sheppard 6.2% 6.2% 5.9% 7.7% 7.1% 7.3% 10.0% 9.3% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 1.1%
Laura Hamilton 18.2% 15.9% 14.1% 12.3% 10.1% 8.4% 7.1% 5.2% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Xander Dalke 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 4.4% 3.7% 4.2% 4.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 10.9% 12.6% 15.9% 12.3%
Will Eggena 0.9% 1.8% 0.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.7% 6.6% 6.6% 8.5% 13.1% 17.4% 29.5%
Sidney Moyer 4.7% 3.6% 5.1% 5.1% 7.4% 7.1% 6.5% 7.9% 8.2% 9.6% 10.5% 8.7% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7%
William Bailey 5.8% 7.3% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.4% 8.6% 8.3% 7.8% 8.2% 6.0% 4.6% 2.3% 1.7%
Ethan Burt 4.8% 4.3% 6.9% 8.3% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 9.2% 10.2% 8.5% 8.3% 7.6% 5.9% 2.3% 1.4%
Michael Hanrahan 2.2% 1.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 6.7% 9.9% 10.9% 13.2% 15.5% 14.8%
Rob Mailley 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 5.2% 4.5% 5.8% 6.1% 9.8% 13.0% 17.4% 24.5%
Yasar Akin 2.1% 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 3.7% 4.9% 6.7% 5.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.6% 11.9% 15.3% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.