← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.15+3.62vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-2.55+3.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.46vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon0.11+4.30vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.31+2.15vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.50+0.64vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.54-0.39vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington1.83-4.87vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-1.39-1.75vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+0.53vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon-1.36+0.56vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington0.18-4.38vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University-0.38-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-1.06-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62University of Washington1.1516.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of Washington-2.559.9%1st Place
-
5.46University of Saint Thomas0.999.4%1st Place
-
8.3University of Oregon0.114.2%1st Place
-
7.15Western Washington University0.315.6%1st Place
-
6.64Northeastern University0.505.8%1st Place
-
6.61Western Washington University0.546.7%1st Place
-
3.13University of Washington1.8325.5%1st Place
-
7.25University of Washington-1.395.3%1st Place
-
10.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.9%1st Place
-
11.56University of Oregon-1.360.9%1st Place
-
7.62University of Washington0.184.4%1st Place
-
9.64Northwestern University-0.382.5%1st Place
-
11.01Western Washington University-1.061.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 16.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 25.5% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 35.9% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| George Warfel | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 10.9% |
| Peter Hall | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.