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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+0.61vs Predicted
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2Boston University-0.72+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.820.00vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.67-0.08vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Salve Regina University0.620.6%1st Place
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2.91Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.0University of New Hampshire-0.820.1%1st Place
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3.92Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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3.57Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 59.2% | 25.8% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Josh Sultanik | 13.8% | 26.2% | 25.8% | 24.0% | 10.2% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.1% | 22.2% | 26.2% | 24.2% | 13.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 4.7% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 44.5% |
| Samuel Honor | 8.2% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 25.4% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.