← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+4.83vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.01vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.66vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.42+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.75+2.52vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.30+3.34vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.79vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.81-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.12+0.96vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.63-1.77vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.45-2.13vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.25-2.20vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.08+0.65vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.43-1.65vs Predicted
-
15Fairfield University1.06-1.20vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.69-4.26vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.61vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University1.90-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.83Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.01University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.13Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.52Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.34Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.22Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.96Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.23Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.87Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.8Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
-
13.65University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.35Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
-
13.8Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
-
11.74Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
15.39Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
-
10.7Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 18.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| James Jagielski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 40.7% |
| Shea Smith | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.