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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.00vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+5.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+2.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+4.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.53vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.08+5.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-3.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.63-1.75vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+0.74vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.90-0.77vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-3.84vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University1.06-0.50vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-6.29vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.67vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.43-4.25vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.42-12.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.47Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston College2.250.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.74Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.23Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.5Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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15.33Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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5.06Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Shea Smith | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| James Jagielski | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 39.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.