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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+6.22vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+4.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07+4.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.31+1.57vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-1.41vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.73+5.35vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.05-3.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-2.84vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37+0.56vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.87+0.77vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.27-1.77vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-6.77vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.53vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-6.90vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.60-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.45Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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5.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.35Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.56Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.77Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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14.47Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.18Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Maks Groom | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 24.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 20.5% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 7.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 27.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.