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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.31+7.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+5.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+2.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.42vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.60+3.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.45-1.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.40-2.61vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.87+2.12vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-0.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-4.37vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.79vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.70-1.56vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.51vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.12-12.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.27Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.98Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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14.12Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.44Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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14.49Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.48Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 25.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 26.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.