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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+5.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.45+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+2.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+1.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60+2.37vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.31-1.16vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37+1.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.73+2.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.98-3.25vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.87-0.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-6.45vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-1.52vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.72-9.78vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.27-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.98Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.28Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.37Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.84Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.58Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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13.61Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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14.48Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 28.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| Maks Groom | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 26.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.