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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+6.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+3.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+1.79vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+9.27vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.31+1.63vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45-0.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-2.42vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.40-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.27+1.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-3.72vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-2.88vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-0.73vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.87-2.02vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-6.90vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.45Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.27Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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14.27Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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13.98Olin College of Engineering0.870.0%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 26.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 24.6% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.