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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+6.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+2.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+5.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.09+7.40vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.45+5.63vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+0.69vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-3.10vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09-3.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-4.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-4.58vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.11+0.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.37+0.85vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-6.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-3.13vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.61-1.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.33-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Rhode Island0.090.0%1st Place
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11.63Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College1.510.1%1st Place
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4.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.2%1st Place
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5.92Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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6.42Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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12.45Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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13.85Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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14.43Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Katz-Christy | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 15.6% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 26.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Adrien Blanc | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 34.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.