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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09+2.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+4.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.33+2.56vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+0.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30+0.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.93-2.55vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.45+1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.24-5.51vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.09-6.21vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.11-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.09-1.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.61-0.72vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.37-2.12vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College1.510.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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11.37Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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5.79Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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12.55Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Rhode Island0.090.0%1st Place
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14.28Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.88Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 12.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.7% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% |
| Adrien Blanc | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 35.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 23.9% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.