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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.91+3.83vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.13vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.97vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78+0.01vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.51-2.35vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.07vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08-1.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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3.41Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania2.830.3%1st Place
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5.01Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.65Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.93SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.33Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.9% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Green | 20.2% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 25.5% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 17.4% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 28.7% | 24.5% |
| Asher Green | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 22.2% | 15.1% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 21.0% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.