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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.51+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.28vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.91+1.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.78+0.97vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69-1.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.13vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.08-0.62vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.76-1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.87Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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4.97Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.3Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.38Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lobaugh | 17.0% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 20.5% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Green | 22.3% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 15.0% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Asher Green | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 25.2% | 14.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 24.3% | 26.6% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.