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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.31vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.91+1.86vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-0.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.51-1.36vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.86vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78-1.88vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08-1.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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3.31University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.86Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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3.28Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.64Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.86SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.37Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 16.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 18.6% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 20.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 18.3% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 28.9% | 23.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Asher Green | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 22.4% | 16.6% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.