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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.15vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+3.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+0.41vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.51-0.40vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.78-0.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.14vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.07vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08-1.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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5.04Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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3.41Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.6Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.93SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.33Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 23.5% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Bridget Green | 19.9% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 18.0% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 14.6% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Asher Green | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 14.8% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 21.4% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.