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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.51+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.29vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.91+1.89vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-0.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.14vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08+0.31vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78-1.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21-0.30vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.89Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
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3.27Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.2%1st Place
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6.31Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.1Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
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6.89SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lobaugh | 17.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 19.3% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 21.4% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 16.5% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Asher Green | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 15.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 8.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 20.8% | 50.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 27.8% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.