← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.78+4.10vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.09vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.69+0.40vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.95vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.51-1.35vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University1.08+0.31vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.21+0.72vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.91-3.19vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.1Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
-
4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
3.4Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
-
3.05University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
-
3.65Fordham University2.510.2%1st Place
-
6.31Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
7.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.210.0%1st Place
-
4.81Webb Institute1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.88SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 10.7% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 21.1% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 23.7% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 18.1% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Asher Green | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 22.6% | 21.7% | 14.3% |
| Charlie Lawrence | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 50.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 9.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 26.6% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.