Race 1A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grant Adam 10.4% 14.5% 12.6% 10.8% 11.7% 12.5% 11.0% 7.3% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.7% 10.9% 11.5% 9.9% 10.7% 11.0% 9.4% 9.8% 8.9% 6.2% 2.0%
Keller Morrison 4.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.7% 7.9% 12.0% 14.3% 16.0% 15.0%
Dominik spinelli 13.7% 12.3% 13.0% 12.5% 13.4% 10.2% 8.3% 7.7% 4.8% 3.3% 0.8%
Luke Zylinski 16.3% 14.2% 12.8% 12.1% 10.9% 10.0% 8.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.2% 1.1%
Jakub Fuja 9.0% 10.3% 9.0% 11.3% 10.5% 10.0% 10.7% 8.2% 9.5% 7.3% 4.2%
Kevin Gosselin 17.6% 15.4% 14.3% 11.6% 10.5% 9.6% 7.7% 5.6% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.5% 4.4% 4.7% 7.2% 7.2% 8.0% 9.8% 11.9% 12.4% 15.1% 13.8%
Charles Morris 5.6% 5.6% 5.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.5% 11.5% 10.6% 13.5% 13.1% 10.9%
Zachary Amelotte 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.1% 6.3% 5.9% 8.2% 8.6% 16.9% 39.2%
Yasar Akin 5.0% 5.2% 7.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.2% 9.7% 12.0% 13.2% 13.8% 11.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.