Race 2A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kevin Gosselin 13.0% 14.8% 14.8% 11.6% 13.6% 10.1% 9.0% 6.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
Luke Zylinski 15.4% 15.5% 13.3% 12.0% 10.0% 10.1% 9.6% 6.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.0% 9.3% 10.6% 11.0% 10.3% 11.1% 9.8% 10.3% 9.8% 5.7% 3.1%
Dominik spinelli 14.1% 12.8% 12.5% 11.8% 13.8% 9.8% 8.3% 8.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.0%
Grant Adam 15.2% 12.9% 11.9% 11.1% 10.1% 11.0% 8.6% 8.1% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3%
Jakub Fuja 8.8% 11.0% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 10.4% 9.3% 10.1% 8.6% 7.7% 4.5%
Keller Morrison 5.9% 4.7% 6.2% 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 11.2% 14.0% 14.4% 12.5%
Yasar Akin 6.3% 4.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 9.7% 9.7% 11.5% 15.2% 12.8%
Charles Morris 5.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.7% 7.6% 7.3% 11.1% 12.2% 12.1% 14.0% 10.7%
Zachary Amelotte 2.0% 3.3% 2.9% 3.0% 3.9% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 9.0% 17.6% 39.4%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.6% 5.7% 6.0% 7.4% 5.9% 7.9% 8.9% 10.5% 14.7% 14.9% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.