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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.38+2.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64+2.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.68+1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-2.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.29-2.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University-0.09-0.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.58-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.81-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.68Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.2%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik spinelli | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Grant Adam | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 14.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 13.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 42.7% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
| Charles Morris | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.