Race 4A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dominik spinelli 13.2% 13.9% 13.1% 12.7% 12.6% 10.2% 10.4% 6.3% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9%
Grant Adam 13.0% 13.8% 13.4% 11.3% 10.9% 11.3% 8.7% 7.5% 6.5% 2.5% 1.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.4% 9.2% 9.4% 11.2% 9.5% 12.0% 9.5% 10.3% 9.4% 7.0% 3.1%
Charles Morris 5.2% 5.0% 6.3% 6.1% 8.4% 8.4% 10.5% 13.0% 12.5% 12.9% 11.7%
Luke Zylinski 16.0% 14.1% 12.8% 12.9% 10.2% 10.9% 8.0% 7.1% 3.9% 3.3% 0.8%
Kevin Gosselin 14.9% 15.7% 13.5% 13.4% 9.9% 10.8% 6.8% 6.2% 4.5% 3.3% 1.0%
Yasar Akin 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 6.5% 8.3% 8.4% 10.7% 9.3% 13.1% 13.9% 12.2%
Jakub Fuja 9.4% 9.2% 12.2% 9.6% 11.1% 10.6% 9.3% 10.4% 9.5% 5.8% 2.9%
Keller Morrison 5.4% 5.4% 4.1% 6.7% 7.5% 6.0% 10.5% 11.1% 13.2% 15.3% 14.8%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.5% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 7.4% 6.8% 9.1% 11.6% 12.0% 16.5% 14.2%
Zachary Amelotte 2.1% 3.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.2% 4.6% 6.5% 7.2% 11.1% 17.1% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.