Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.0% 11.1% 9.9% 12.5% 9.4% 10.7% 11.6% 12.3% 7.1% 5.6% 1.8%
Luke Zylinski 14.8% 15.6% 12.7% 12.3% 10.3% 11.4% 8.2% 6.8% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8%
Charles Morris 5.7% 5.5% 6.1% 6.3% 6.9% 9.9% 9.3% 10.3% 15.8% 13.0% 11.2%
Grant Adam 12.6% 10.6% 12.5% 11.3% 14.6% 9.9% 9.7% 7.3% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.4% 5.6% 5.3% 5.0% 8.5% 7.7% 8.3% 10.6% 12.4% 17.0% 15.2%
Kevin Gosselin 16.1% 14.5% 12.7% 13.6% 11.4% 8.7% 7.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Dominik spinelli 16.8% 14.5% 14.5% 11.7% 9.8% 10.4% 7.7% 6.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.2%
Keller Morrison 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 9.4% 9.8% 11.1% 11.0% 15.2% 13.5%
Yasar Akin 4.9% 5.1% 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 10.3% 11.5% 14.2% 15.5% 12.5%
Zachary Amelotte 2.4% 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 5.2% 5.4% 8.1% 11.1% 15.3% 39.0%
Jakub Fuja 9.4% 10.4% 12.2% 9.4% 10.8% 9.5% 12.3% 8.3% 8.4% 6.8% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.