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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+1.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79+0.49vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.68+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.81+0.82vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.38-2.78vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.29-3.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University-0.09-1.27vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.64-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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4.86Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.07Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik spinelli | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Grant Adam | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| Charles Morris | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 38.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.