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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.29+4.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.68+3.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.58+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.38-0.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64+0.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.64-3.42vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.81-2.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-5.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University-0.09-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.2%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.58Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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4.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.2%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 16.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Dominik spinelli | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Yasar Akin | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 12.9% |
| Grant Adam | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Charles Morris | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.