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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+5.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.38+1.51vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.64-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.81+0.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-2.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.29-2.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University-0.09-0.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.64-2.94vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.68-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.2%1st Place
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5.46Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 12.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| Dominik spinelli | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Grant Adam | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Charles Morris | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.1% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jakub Fuja | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 42.6% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.9% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.