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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.38+4.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+3.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.57vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University-0.09+4.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.79-1.63vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.81-1.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.64-4.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.64-2.90vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.68-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.2%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.790.2%1st Place
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7.14Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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4.81Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 42.6% |
| Dominik spinelli | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
| Charles Morris | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% |
| Grant Adam | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.