Race 10A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grant Adam 11.2% 13.2% 12.4% 12.8% 10.6% 11.6% 11.1% 8.3% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9%
Jakub Fuja 9.1% 9.7% 10.4% 10.4% 9.6% 11.4% 9.9% 11.1% 7.4% 8.1% 2.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.9% 8.3% 10.3% 10.2% 10.7% 12.2% 9.0% 10.8% 10.2% 5.9% 2.5%
Dominik spinelli 13.9% 12.5% 12.1% 12.1% 13.9% 10.5% 9.4% 7.1% 5.1% 2.3% 1.1%
Charles Morris 6.0% 7.2% 5.9% 6.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 11.2% 12.9% 13.8% 10.6%
Daniel van Heeckeren 3.9% 5.0% 6.5% 4.7% 5.8% 8.4% 10.2% 10.2% 14.3% 16.5% 14.5%
Kevin Gosselin 17.1% 16.0% 13.3% 13.4% 9.8% 9.3% 8.1% 5.6% 3.8% 2.6% 1.0%
Keller Morrison 5.5% 4.6% 5.9% 7.6% 8.4% 7.4% 9.7% 11.7% 11.2% 14.9% 13.1%
Yasar Akin 4.6% 5.2% 5.5% 7.2% 7.0% 6.3% 11.2% 10.6% 13.7% 15.0% 13.7%
Zachary Amelotte 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 4.6% 6.2% 7.6% 11.3% 16.0% 39.0%
Luke Zylinski 16.3% 15.8% 14.9% 11.1% 11.3% 10.3% 6.7% 5.8% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.