Race 11A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bradley Whiteway 23.8% 19.3% 15.7% 11.1% 10.0% 8.8% 6.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 12.6% 12.5% 13.0% 12.4% 13.1% 10.9% 8.8% 6.8% 6.8% 3.1%
Allison Nystrom 4.9% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 6.2% 8.6% 11.0% 13.6% 15.8% 21.0%
Keller Morrison 5.1% 6.4% 7.0% 9.6% 8.8% 9.2% 11.1% 14.2% 14.1% 14.5%
Grant Adam 17.3% 15.6% 13.4% 14.3% 13.2% 9.4% 6.9% 5.2% 3.1% 1.6%
Yasar Akin 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 9.9% 10.2% 10.8% 11.4% 13.5% 15.4%
Charles Morris 5.9% 7.0% 9.0% 8.5% 11.7% 11.5% 11.3% 12.4% 12.2% 10.5%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.6% 6.7% 8.1% 7.7% 7.6% 8.5% 11.4% 13.1% 14.1% 17.2%
Jakub Fuja 11.5% 10.5% 12.4% 13.3% 10.6% 11.3% 12.4% 7.5% 6.7% 3.8%
Julian Henderson 6.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.9% 11.6% 9.9% 13.0% 12.3% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.