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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.38+3.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+4.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+1.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.81+0.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-0.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.29-2.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.68-1.74vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.64-2.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.15Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.2%1st Place
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5.97University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.810.1%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| Grant Adam | 15.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 21.4% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Morris | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% |
| Julian Henderson | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 15.8% |
| Allison Nystrom | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.