← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Saint Thomas0.99+4.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.83+1.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington-2.55+2.65vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.38+5.59vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.15-0.35vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.50+0.68vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.31-0.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon0.11+0.20vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.54-2.44vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-1.39-2.70vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon-1.36+0.50vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-1.06-0.92vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.18-5.17vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.35University of Saint Thomas0.9910.5%1st Place
-
3.2University of Washington1.8326.6%1st Place
-
5.65University of Washington-2.559.8%1st Place
-
9.59Northwestern University-0.381.8%1st Place
-
4.65University of Washington1.1513.6%1st Place
-
6.68Northeastern University0.506.2%1st Place
-
6.86Western Washington University0.316.5%1st Place
-
8.2University of Oregon0.113.8%1st Place
-
6.56Western Washington University0.547.5%1st Place
-
7.3University of Washington-1.395.8%1st Place
-
11.5University of Oregon-1.361.1%1st Place
-
11.08Western Washington University-1.061.1%1st Place
-
7.83University of Washington0.184.2%1st Place
-
10.55University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 26.6% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| George Warfel | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Emily Avey | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Smith | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 34.9% |
| Peter Hall | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 26.3% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.