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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.38+3.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+2.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.81+2.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+0.98vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.64-2.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58-0.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-1.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.64-2.60vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.68-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.92Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.810.1%1st Place
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4.0Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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6.57Brown University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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6.4Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 21.3% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charles Morris | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% |
| Julian Henderson | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Grant Adam | 18.4% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
| Allison Nystrom | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.