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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.38+1.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64+0.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.98+0.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64+0.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58-0.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.29-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.81-2.96vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.68-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.2%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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4.1Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.980.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University0.580.0%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 23.4% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Allison Nystrom | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 21.8% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Grant Adam | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Gavin VanManen | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.5% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 17.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Charles Morris | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% |
| Yasar Akin | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.